Which comes first for Polkadot? (DOT Price Analysis) – Parofix

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Which comes first for Polkadot? (DOT Price Analysis)


polkadot‘s recent price action was characterized by light movement and minimal volatility, following a rapid decline towards the $6 level. However, the cryptocurrency finds itself at a crucial juncture, with a potential breakout likely to determine its next direction.

Polkadot Price Analysis: Technicals


By Shayan

Daily Chart


A thorough analysis of the daily chart reveals a period of consolidation around $6, marked by low volatility and indecision in the market. This indicates an impending struggle between buyers and sellers and signals that a significant move is coming.

Despite this uncertainty, Polkadot price is currently supported by a strong and stable range; It is supported by the key 200-day moving average at $6.93 and the critical support level at the 0.618 Fibonacci level ($6.7). This strong support zone is supported by significant demand and has the potential to sustain further downside pressure, potentially pushing the price towards the significant resistance zone around $9.

Source: TradingView
4-Hour Chart


A detailed examination of the 4-hour time frame reveals a rapid decline towards the $6 level, where the price encountered significant demand and led to a slight reversal. However, the subsequent horizontal consolidation phase saw minimal volatility and a lack of decisive momentum.

However, the price formed a sideways triangle formation with a break above its upper limit, indicating the continuation of the upward trend.

Currently, DOT is on the verge of breaking above this triangle formation. In such a situation, Polkadot is expected to continue its upward trend; potential targets lie in the price range defined by the Fibonacci levels of 0.5 ($7.4) and 0.618 ($7.8).

Conversely, a break below the lower border of the triangle formation could signal a continuation of the downtrend towards the $6 level.

Source: TradingView
Sentiment Analysis


By Shayan

The significant impact of the perpetual futures market on Polkadot’s price dynamics cannot be ignored. Most short-term price movements, especially those following periods of consolidation, result from liquidations in the futures market. Therefore, understanding where liquidity is most concentrated can provide valuable information.

The Binance DOT/USDT liquidity heat map provides a visual representation of price levels where large-scale liquidation events are likely to occur. Those highlighted in yellow on the chart indicate a range of liquidation potential.

As shown in the chart, the $7 and $6 price zones are characterized by a significant amount of liquidity. As a result, if the price rallies towards the $7 threshold, this could trigger a significant liquidation process, resulting in increased volatility and a significant decline in the short term. Conversely, if the market pulls back towards the $6 level, a rapid rally could occur due to a long series of liquidations, leading to a sudden rally.

These levels serve as important reference points in the short term and have the potential to shape the market trend in the coming weeks.

Source: Coinglass
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Cryptocurrency charts from TradingView.



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