Do proof-of-stake blockchains trend towards decentralization over time?

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Jul 10, 2023
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Do proof-of-stake blockchains trend towards decentralization over time?


As blockchain technology moves towards proof-of-stake consensus models, an urgent question arises: will these systems maintain decentralization, or will rewards be disproportionately concentrated among large players at the expense of broader participation?

Dr. Wenpin Tang, a leading researcher on blockchain incentives, analyzed these dynamics in proof-of-stake (PoS) systems using advanced mathematical models. Their findings highlight and begin to reveal the complex forces at play.

On pure PoS chains like ethereum, miners bid using their coin balances for verification rights, with no trading allowed between miners. Winners get more money as prizes. This seems to favor the big players, but Dr. Tang explains that it’s more subtle:

The key takeaway is that this will be different for large and small miners. The stakes of major miners (e.g. Binance or Musk) will be fixed; For example, if they initially had a 10% stake, they will end up with closer to 10%. This is not the case for small miners (e.g. many retail miners); Their shares suffer from volatility. If they initially had a 0.01% stake, they could end up with, say, 0.0001% or 0.1%; The probability of falling is higher than the probability of rising.
So while the giants remain stable in this pure PoS system, small miners face significant fluctuations with a trend towards long-term share loss. Dr. Tang notes that this could lead to greater reliance on large validators for blockchain maintenance.

But introducing commerce into the ecosystem has a profound impact. New dynamics emerge when miners can trade coins. Dr. Tang modeled a “market effect” approach in which selling lowers prices while buying raises them. Mathematics then showed that trade forced decentralization over time.

However, this assumes the existence of a “homogeneous” group of miners validating the network; This means everyone is moving to optimize their positions. “The analysis assumes that miners have the same incentives and information,” said Dr. “But the truth is much more complex,” Tang says.

It is equally vital to go beyond the perfect rationality assumed in most models. “True decisions come from ‘feeling,’ not calculated optimization,” Tang explains. “This chaotic collective behavior requires work.”

In other words, human emotions shape incentives, and different incentives create heterogeneity among the mining population that is difficult to explain with pure mathematics. So Dr. Tang’s equations provide directional information, real-world human actions lead to ultimate consequences. Dr. Tang uses the term “bounded rationality”; and yet rational thought is “limited” by human weaknesses and incentives.

Here is Dr. Tang sees machine learning playing an important role in analyzing the multitude of characteristics between different actors on the blockchain. It can cluster and analyze different miner behaviors and information. The insights gained will aid protocol designs in better promoting decentralization.

This interaction of theory and practice leads Tang to conclude:

“Well-structured PoS systems can potentially decentralize wealth. But achieving this requires carefully adjusting rewards and trading parameters, always accounting for human imperfections.”
While fully decentralized networks remain a desirable goal, Dr. Tang’s research offers hope that these goals can be achieved through careful design considerations. More importantly, it shows the following models: To do shows a positive trend and provides at least a partial framework for sustainable network design.

However, mathematical models alone are not enough to tell the whole story. Maintaining broad participation requires a deep understanding of miner behaviors and incentives. By combining insights from theory and practice, blockchains can deliver on the promise of fair access and distributed trust. But the path forward will also require acknowledging social and cognitive nuances beyond the purely technical.


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